After each military attack carried out on Russian home, presumably by individualities or groups linked directly or laterally to the Ukrainian governance, the US government officially denies having encouraged or favored this kind ofultra-provocative operations. The same script was repeated on Tuesday following the irruption of eight drones on Moscow in what was the first attempt at an air raid against mercenary structures in the Russian capital. Despite the denials, it’s hard to imagine that Zelensky and his circle actedindependently.However, Tuesday’s occasion would mark a new extremely dangerous provocation from Washington, over all in the light of the serious deterioration of Ukraine’s war capabilities under the blows of Russian ordnance, If this were the case.
According to the mayor of Moscow, Sergei Sobyanin, there would have been only minor damage to some domestic structures, while two people would have suffered minor injuries. The Russian Defense Ministry has blazoned that it has shot down five drones and annulled the other three thanks to electronic defense systems. The attack is the rearmost of those recorded only in the month of May, which began with the two drones launched on the Kremlin, according to the Russian authorities to attempt on the life of President Putin.
Only last week another raid was conducted in the Belgorod region. A couple of Russian far-right fortified groups presumably posted in Ukraine had kept the Russian military busy for a couple of days. The images also circulated on the net had shown, among other effects, an American armored vehicle destroyed after being used for the attack. Also in recent days there have also been raids with drones against two oil painting refineries in Russian home. The first on Sunday and the alternate a couple of days latterly. In both cases, the attacks caused fires but there appear to have been no casualties.
The Kiev governance has made it given that it’s in no way involved in these occurrences, indeed though Zelensky’s counsel, Mykhailo Podolyak, said he was” satisfied” with the growing number of attacks in Russia. That Ukraine isn’t behind these events is substantially doubtful. A many days agone , the New York Times had written in fact that, according to the US government, those responsible for the failed drone attack on the Kremlin in early May were to be set up among the Ukrainian service or intelligence services.
In turn, the thesis that the United States is ignorant of the Ukrainian plans is inconceivable. Indeed, the most believable interpretation is that the White House approves the attacks within the Russian borders, for which it presumably provides the geographical equals. This thesis had formerly been verified by an composition in the Times of London in early December, which explained how Washington had guaranteed Zelensky” wordless blessing” for” long- range” attacks against targets in Russian home.
From a politic or strategic point of view, the use of drones over Moscow makes no particular sense. Rather, these kinds of operations act terrorist styles, to unleash fear among the mercenary population and provoke a disproportionate response from the Russian side, therefore justifying indeed lesser NATO involvement in the ongoing war. Putin and his spokesperson, Dmitry Peskov, also spoke of” terrorism” in describing Tuesday’s events, and also linked them to a Russian attack, which took place a many days before, against the headquarters of the Ukrainian military intelligence services( GUR). In short, it would be an attempt to avenge against the ultimate operation, nearly clearly with the blessing of Washington, as also stated by the Russian minister to the USA, Anatoly Antonov.
still, the American denials expressed in an sanctioned way also leave the time they find. The Biden administration has in fact given its unequivocal blessing to the Ukrainian attacks against the Crimea, indeed if for Moscow the promontory on the Black Sea is an integral part of its home. Some US abettors also have smaller compunctions about the issue. The British Defense Minister, James Cleverly, for illustration, has said that he considers Ukrainian operations across the border with Russia fully licit.
Indeed in Washington there’s no deficit of voices in favor of this war strategy. Several members of Congress from both parties have championed or encouraged the recent attacks against Russia on social media or in TV interviews. It remains to be understood what the real thing of similar operations is and whether they should be linked to the contended medications for the decreasingly less probable Ukrainiancounter-offensive.
Though much lower intimately talked about, the Ukrainian counterattack continues to be stirred up from time to time both in Kiev and in the West. still, nearly all independent service judges believe that the chances of launching and sustaining a military operation against Russian forces are slim to none. Moscow has been conducting targeted and ruinous bombings in recent weeks, wiping out residual Ukrainian service capabilities and destroying the structure network that should guarantee inventories and connections with the front.
thus, if we count that the question resolves itself into a pure propaganda design, held up to protract the war and continue to guarantee the inflow of arms towards Kiev, the only other thesis to consider, as mentioned over, is the possible medication of a direct battle between Russia and NATO. This has been explicitly bandied for some time in the most radical Atlanticist circles. For illustration, the Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic, General Karel Řehka, lately advised that a “ war between Russia and the Atlantic Alliance is possible ”. The ultimate would be a real possibility and it’s thus” necessary to prepare for a long conflict”.
analogous visions can be traced back to the elaboration of objectively crazypseudo-military theses which, especially in the United States, affirm that the threat of provoking a nuclear war is entirely respectable in order to master and weaken Russia. In short, the vision of bending Putin and a country with endless coffers has not yet dissolved in the West despite the assignments of these fifteen months of war.
In this script, the druthers feel eventually to be only two. Or Ukraine’s house of cards will collapse as a result of the huge difference in military capabilities between Moscow and Kiev, despite NATO support, with the US and Europe beating back to turn their attention away( China). Or, in the worst case script, the escalation will continue until dragging the West, if not the whole earth, into a conflict whose consequences are delicate to calculate. Written by Michele Paris
